Clean Currents 2022

Long-Range Forecasting: Tech Demo 2 in the Innovation Power House

The world is experiencing major changes in rainfall and temperature patterns, manifesting itself in dramatic changes in the availability and timing of water on river systems throughout the world.

This, in conjunction with increasing energy demand from a power system that has more reliance on variable generation sources – such as solar and wind power – will require risk decisions to be made further in the future.

More accurate longer-range probabilistic flow forecasts, extending weeks to months into the future, will be increasingly necessary to reduce operational and financial risks in a rapidly changing water landscape.

The technology being demonstrated was first conceived in 2017 when Dr. Ray Schmitt and his sons entered a year-long rainfall forecasting competition sponsored by the Bureau of Reclamation, U.S. Department of the Interior, with the goal of scaling out Dr. Schmitt’s scientific discoveries with machine learning. The Schmitt team beat out every forecaster by at least a factor of two.

Dr. Schmitt spent 40 years as a senior scientist and physical oceanographer at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Dr. Schmitt’s groundbreaking research links precipitation rates to ocean salinity.

Presenter Information

Kenneth Westrick

Kenneth Westrick
Head of Energy and Water
Salient Predictions
Demonstration Speaker